Why Invest In New York

By Wei Min Tan


Manhattan, New York is the most expensive, land-locked and high demand city in the United States.  Manhattan is very different from the average  U.S. city from various perspectives.  For example, the median price of an apartment in Manhattan is $850,000 while the median price of a single family house in the U.S. is $190,000.  Combined with higher incomes, diversity and an international culture, Manhattan is perhaps the most unique city in the United States. 



Top Ranking Global City

High net worth individuals globally have been buying condominium apartments in Manhattan for diversification because of Manhattan's price stability and global brand value.  The 2013 Wealth Report published by Knight Frank ranks Manhattan, New York the #1 city in the world based on number of high net worth individuals and based on the top global cities that matter the most to HNWIs.  



Top Global Cities By High Net Worth Population
Copyright Castle Avenue Team at Rutenberg
127 E 56 ST, 4TH FL, NEW YORK, NY 10022 USA212.682.8494hello@castle-avenue.com
Wei Min Tan is a property broker focusing on Manhattan, New York luxury condominiums and foreign buyers.   He is often interviewed by the media including CNN, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal on the subject of foreign buyers of Manhattan property.  View Wei Min's media appearances.  

Wei Min can be reached at +1.212.380.6134, tan@castle-avenue.com.
Ranking

1.  New York
2.  London
3.  Tokyo
4.  San Francisco​
5.  Los Angeles
6.  Beijing
7.  Mumbai
8.  Hong Kong
9.  Sao Paolo
10. Rio de Janeiro

Read more on New York's Super Prime Areas


Population Growth

Real estate is driven by population demand which in turn is fueled by population growth.  U.S. Census shows that the United States' population grew from 309 million in 2010 to 314 million in 2012, signifying a 1.7 percent increase.  

New York City, which comprises Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, Staten Island and Bronx, grew from 8.175 million people to 8.337 million during the same period, or a 2 percent increase. 

The population of Manhattan grew from 1.585 million to 1,619 million during the same two year period, or a 2.1 percent increase.  This shows population growth in Manhattan outpaced both U.S. and New York City growth rates. 



Diversity

Manhattan's population growth is driven by organic growth and immigration.  Immigration includes people moving to New York from within the United States and from abroad, driven by the various employment sectors such as finance, media, advertising and technology.

The number of foreign born persons in Manhattan as of 2011 was 29 percent, compared to the U.S. average of 13 percent.  This demonstrates Manhattan, New York's ability to attract highly educated and high income talent from all over the world.  High educational attainment and income are now almost a pre-requisite to live in Manhattan where the average rent is $3,500 per month and a luxury 2-bedroom apartment rents for $10,000 per month.



Limited Supply On A Land-Locked Island

Manhattan is one of the most densely populated cities in the world with 1.6 million residents living in a land area of 23 square miles.  This equates to 69,000 residents per square mile.  Unlike inland U.S. cities that allow developers to build outwards of the city core, Manhattan is a land-locked island.  This limits the amount of property supply while demand continues to grow from local residents and investors from around the world. 

Read our Foreign and International Buyer Guide 



The Great Recession of 2009

Perhaps the best indicator of Manhattan, New York's investment risk level was during the recession of 2009.  Manhattan was the last to enter the recession and the first to come out of it.  

Property prices increased until late 2008 and decreased in only one year, 2009.  By 2010, property prices were on the rise again.  While the U.S. saw property price decreases of up to 50 percent, property prices in Manhattan declined by only 15 percent in 2009.  The peak of 2008 saw apartment prices at $1,183 per square foot.  This declined to $1,051 per square foot in 2009, representing the bottom of Manhattan property prices.  By 2010, prices started inching up again and were recorded at $1,058 per square foot.  


Manhattan's Historical Price Trend


There are several reasons why Manhattan was more insulated from the recession.  

The larger percentage of co-ops in Manhattan meant boards would not allow financially overstretched buyers.  These boards also require proof of sufficient financial cushion and liquidity from potential purchasers.  As result, most owners in Manhattan are not financially overstretched.

The higher income levels of Manhattan residents allow them to better weather financial uncertainties.
 
Since the average size of mortgages in Manhattan are larger (known as "jumbo" and "super jumbo"), banks were also stricter with lending guidelines.  This meant requiring higher credit scores and more financial cushion from borrowers.

As a result, foreclosure rates in Manhattan were almost non-existent.  Right after the recession, any property that were in pre-foreclosure status were purchased, often at market prices, way before actual foreclosure could take place.  This was very different from states like Florida, Arizona and Nevada where banks foreclosed on properties and then resold them back on the market at a significant discount.



Conclusion

For a top global city, Manhattan, New York is a relative value from a price perspective.  Our clients have been buying in New York for its price stability and global demand.  The recession of 2009 was perhaps the best proving ground on Manhattan as a low investment risk asset.

If you'd like to explore  adding Manhattan property to your portfolio of assets, we look forward to a discussion.
Top Global Cities That Matter To High Net Worth Individuals
Ranking

1. New York
2. London
3. Paris
4. Tokyo
5. Hong Kong
However, despite the #1 rankings per the above criteria, property prices in New York are a relative bargain.  For higher-end residential property, New York's $2,030 to $2,240 price per square foot is only ranked #8 in the world. 



Most Expensive Real Estate In The World


1. Monaco
2. Hong Kong
3. London
4. Geneva
5.  Paris
6.  Singapore
7.  Moscow
8.  New York
9.  Sydney
10.  Shanghai
Price per square foot
​          $5,350 - $5,920
    $4,570 - $5,050
    $3,890 - $4,300
    $2,720 - $3,010
    $2,350 - $2,600
    $2,340 - $2,580
    $2,040 - $2,260
    $2,030 - $2,240
    $2,020 - $2,230
    $1,820 - $2,020
Pre-war condominium Apthorp in Upper West Side

Castle Avenue Team      
at Rutenberg
127 East 56 St, 4th fl, New York, NY 10022        tan@castle-avenue.com        +1.212.380.6134                                                            Property Blog
Manhattan, New York residential condominium specialist focusing on investors and international buyers